I was reading "The Black Cloud" by Fred Hoyle when I got to thinking about Nightmare Moon's plan to eliminate the sun.
Now,
in the My Little Pony universe the sun is not some astronomical object
out there in space, it is something manipulated by magic. This means
that there is not a night side and day side to the planet. [1] This is
very important, as will become evident later.
Had Nightmare Moon
succeeded in her plan, this "night that will last forever" would
completely devastate the entire planet, rendering it uninhabitable to
all but a tiny few creatures (assuming they exist) whose lives are not
impacted by the sun's existence or lack thereof. Moreover, this horrible
fate, the end of all pony kind, would happen in a much quicker timespan
than might be imagined by the casual viewer. Allow me to explain with a
little timeline.
First, it is important to note that this
"forever night" [2] would be very different from an ordinary night.
During the night the land surface cools down. This process is mitigated
by the effects of the atmosphere. If there are clouds then less heat can
escape and the land cools slower. On Earth there is always some point
on the surface where it is day time, so part of the atmosphere is always
warm, creating convection currents and preventing the entire atmosphere
from cooling off. This is why the artic and antarctic never get too
cold during their long, sunless winters, because warm air from the lower
latitudes circulates, keeping the poles warmer than they would
otherwise be. If the entire output of the sun was eliminated somehow
(see note 1), then this saving effect of the atmosphere would no longer
exist.
It is impossible to make accurate calculations without
knowing the size of pony planet, but we can make some reasonable
guesses.
A body the size of the Earth facing an endless night
would rapidly begin to cool off. Immediately photosynthesis would stop,
and small plants would begin to die as they used up their sugar
supplies.
Within a week the surface temperature of the whole
planet would reach freezing. The oceans, a considerable heat reservoir,
would remain warm for a quite some time.
One month after sun and
most plants have died or been eaten. Herbivoirs would not survive much
longer. Ponies (being the equivalent of humans) do not seem to be
capable of harnessing geothermal power, or operate submarines, as they
seem to have 19th century equivalent technology (steam power). They
would be able to burn wood, and possibly coal, for warmth, and live off
of grain reserves (say a year's worth), but things would get very
difficult very quickly. Many ponies would die early on, leaving the
harty survivers to a long, cold, dark, lonley fate. The surface
temperature would be arctic cold everywhere. Coastal waters would begin
to freeze, but the opean ocean would remain liquid.
Six months
after sun and the surface temperature is as cold as it ever gets on
Earth, −80 °C (−112 °F). Only a few straggling scavangers will survive.
If it can't live in Antarctica it can't live on pony planet any longer.
Creatures would not only need adaptation to extreme cold, they would
need adaptation to darkness. [3] The last of the ponies has probably
died. The water in trees has frozen solid and the only surviving plant
life is a few frozen seeds. Even the open ocean is frozen on the
surface. Most sea life within the first 2 kilometers has died due to
starvation. Deep ocean life continues to survive off of detritus falling
from the surface.
One year after sun and the only things left
alive are either immortal (Luna as Nightmare Moon, Celestia who has been
captured, and statue Discord), or lives far below the surface. The deep
oceans, warmed by geothermal activity [4] and insulated by over a
kilometer of ice, will remain habitable to deep vent communities (tube
worms, shrimp, etc., if they exist on pony planet), and bacteria slowly
metabolising the rock near the mantle (if they exist [5]).
After
that is wild guessing. Even the longest lived seeds would die after a
few tens of thousands of year (maybe sooner, if they can't survive the
cold). Global glaciations have lasted for tens of millions of years
without freezing the oceans solid (although, the sun still existed). In
the total absence of the sun, it would still be tens of thousands of
years before the oceans froze solid. The only life would remain deep
under ground, where the rock was still warm. The surface temperature
would be the same as that of the Moon during night time, −238 °C (−477
°F). The atmosphere would have frozen long ago. [6] If pony planet is
like Earth, geological activity will end when the outer core solidifies,
a process which will take 2 billion years. Subterranian bacteria will
have died long before this event, having used up all available water in
the rocks. The entire planet will be dead, and all because a princess
got butthurt because her subjects couldn't stay awake 24 hours straight.
Notes
1.
As far as we can tell - unless Celestia does not "raise the sun" but
"rotates the planet," which would have the same subjective effect. For
purpose of this exercise I am assuming that Celestia actually raises the
sun, meaning that when it is night time the entire planet is covered in
darkness, and when it is day time the entire planet is covered in
light.
It is possible that Nightmare Moon could blot out the sun
by putting something between it and pony planet, like the Black Cloud.
That object would need to intercept and absorb or divert all incident
sunlight, and not in any way warm up, or there would come a time,
eventually, where it would get so hot as to become as effective a
radiant heat source as the sun itself. Either way, the effect would be
the same, and the means of how Nightmare Moon eliminates the sun is
unimportant.
2. "Forever Knight" was a TV series about a vampire police officer. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yPhIEG3JYtg
3.
Vitamin D must be created through exposure to sunlight or ingesting
something that had created it through sunlight. NONE of the latter
survive. Life would entail a constant struggle to acquire this nutrient.
4. Volcanoes do exist, as has been seen on the show. The only
question remains if dragons are the only creatures that live in
volcanoes or if there are Earth-equivalent lifeforms like tube worms.
5. Ponies can get sick, so assumably there are many different kinds of bacteria.
6.
If the pony atmosphere is mostly nitrogen, it would have frozen solid
at −210 °C (−346 °F). Offgassing from volcanoes would still release
carbon dioxide, which would also freeze, producing dry ice snow. Since
volcanic activity won't stop for millions of years the atmosphere would
consist of carbon dioxide waiting to freeze and trace gasses like
helium.
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